Current Final

Tag: State Bank of Pakistan

  • Govt’s borrowing soars to over Rs1.6 trillion in three months, marking a fivefold increase from last year

    Govt’s borrowing soars to over Rs1.6 trillion in three months, marking a fivefold increase from last year

    In the current fiscal year, FY24, the federal government’s net borrowing to meet its financial obligations for governing the nation amounted to Rs1.6 trillion.

    According to official data released by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the government secured loans exceeding Rs1.6 trillion in cash from the domestic banking sector during the first quarter, up significantly from the Rs261 billion borrowed during the same period in the previous year.

    During this period, the government obtained a net loan of Rs98 billion from SBP. It’s worth noting that the government is obligated to adhere to International Monetary Fund regulations, which prohibit direct borrowing from the central bank.

    Additionally, the government raised Rs1.5 trillion from scheduled banks in the first quarter of FY24 (up to September 8) to address the budget deficit.

    The net borrowing by the government for budgetary support in FY23 totaled Rs3.74 trillion, marking an increase from Rs3.13 trillion in FY22.

  • Pakistani rupee settles at Rs290.86 against US dollar, marking 14th consecutive gain

    Pakistani rupee settles at Rs290.86 against US dollar, marking 14th consecutive gain

    In continuation of its recent positive streak, the Pakistani rupee extended its upward trajectory against the US dollar for the 14th consecutive session, marking a gain of 0.31 per cent in the interbank market on Monday.

    According to data released by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the rupee closed at Rs290.86, representing a noteworthy increase of Re0.9 in the inter-bank market. This sustained appreciation trend has seen the rupee make significant gains, amounting to 5.28 per cenr, or Rs16.24, since its record low of Rs307.1 against the US dollar on September 5 in the inter-bank market.

    In the previous week, the rupee experienced a further appreciation of 1.74 per cent, concluding positively for all five trading sessions and settling at Rs291.76 against the US dollar in the inter-bank market by the end of the week. Additionally, the rupee’s performance in the open market has strengthened, reducing the ‘premium’ to negligible levels and aligning with the benchmarks established by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

    While several experts attribute the rupee’s recent gains to administrative and enforcement measures, some argue that these increases reflect the currency’s intrinsic value when speculative influences and negative sentiment are excluded.

  • Pakistan imports tea worth Rs31.64 billion in just two months 

    Pakistan imports tea worth Rs31.64 billion in just two months 

    According to data from the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS), Pakistan’s imports of food items in the first two months of the fiscal year 2023–24 amounted to Rs378.98 billion. 

    The PBS data reveals that during this two-month period, Pakistan imported tea worth Rs31.64 billion, a notable increase from Rs20.23 billion during the corresponding period in the previous year.  

    Additionally, Pakistan imported palm oil valued at Rs158.7 billion and soybean oil worth Rs13.56 billion. 

    Furthermore, Pakistan imported pulses worth Rs48.25 billion and dry fruits valued at over Rs2 billion during the same two-month period. 

    It is worth noting that in July, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) lifted all import restrictions as part of its efforts to meet the conditions set by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). 

    Read more: Pakistani rupee gains value, now at Rs292.78 per US dollar 

    The central bank issued a circular to abolish these import restrictions and authorised banks to facilitate remittances to clear more than 6,000 containers. 

    The SBP clarified in the circular that remittances would be made available for all imports following the implementation of the latest order. 

  • Pakistani rupee gains value, now at Rs292.78 per US dollar

    Pakistani rupee gains value, now at Rs292.78 per US dollar

    The Pakistani rupee’s ascent against the US dollar persisted for the 12th consecutive session in the inter-bank market on Thursday, registering a 0.38 per cent gain.

    According to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the rupee settled at 292.78, marking a notable increase of Rs1.1 within the inter-bank market. Just the day before, on Wednesday, the rupee had exhibited a similar upward trend, appreciating by 0.35 per cent and settling at 293.88.

    This remarkable turnaround in the rupee’s value follows a recent period of decline, during which it hit a record low of 307.1 in the inter-bank market on September 5.

    The transformation in its fortune can be attributed to a series of structural reforms introduced by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) within the Exchange Companies’ (ECs) sector, along with various administrative measures implemented by authorities to combat currency smuggling and hoarding.

    On the global stage, the US dollar reached new heights on Thursday, notably against the yen, marking its strongest position since November.

    This surge in the dollar’s strength followed a hawkish stance taken by the US Federal Reserve at its recent monetary policy meeting, where it opted to maintain interest rates within the 5.25 per cent–5.50 per cent range.

    The Fed’s decision reflected a growing confidence among officials that their assertive monetary policy approach can effectively combat inflation without causing significant economic disruption or substantial job losses.

    Conversely, oil prices experienced a decline on Thursday, following the previous session’s significant drop, as expectations of US interest rate hikes overshadowed the impact of reduced US crude stockpiles.

  • PKR gains for 11th straight session, reaches Rs293.88 per dollar

    PKR gains for 11th straight session, reaches Rs293.88 per dollar

    The Pakistani rupee continued its upward trend against the US dollar, marking the 11th consecutive session of appreciation in the interbank market on Wednesday.

    According to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the rupee closed at 293.88, reflecting a 0.35 per cent increase. This follows a 0.36 per cent appreciation on Tuesday, when it settled at 294.90.

    Recent days have seen a remarkable strengthening of the rupee, with a nearly 4.5 per cent gain since hitting a record low of 307.1 in the inter-bank market on September 5. 

    This turnaround is attributed to structural reforms introduced by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) in the Exchange Companies’ (ECs) sector and reported efforts to combat smuggling, both of which have provided support to the currency markets.

    Globally, the US dollar remained steady on Wednesday, with a slight softening against the yen, in anticipation of the Federal Reserve’s highly anticipated rate decision later in the day. 

    The US dollar index, which gauges the greenback against a basket of currencies, held steady at 105.13 as traders awaited the Fed’s announcement. Market expectations are that the Fed will likely maintain interest rates in the range of 5.25 per cent to 5.50 per cent, putting the spotlight on the central bank’s forward guidance.

    Meanwhile, oil prices, a significant indicator of currency stability, declined by nearly $1 on Wednesday, ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision. Investors remain uncertain about when peak interest rates will be reached and the potential impact on energy demand. 

    These price drops occurred despite larger-than-expected reductions in US oil stockpiles and weaker US shale output, both of which point to limited crude supply for the remainder of 2023.

  • 10-day winning streak: Pakistani rupee soars to Rs294.90 against US dollar 

    10-day winning streak: Pakistani rupee soars to Rs294.90 against US dollar 

    In a noteworthy financial trend, the Pakistani rupee continued its upward trajectory against the US dollar, marking its 10th consecutive session of appreciation in the interbank market. On Tuesday, the rupee displayed resilience by appreciating by 0.36 per cent, settling at Rs294.9, following a notable increase of Rs1.05. 

    This positive momentum in the exchange rate follows the previous day’s gain, where the rupee had strengthened by 0.3 per cent to close at Rs295.95. This recent surge in the value of the Pakistani rupee comes in stark contrast to its earlier performance, when it reached an all-time low of Rs307.1 in the interbank market. 

    The shift in fortune can be attributed to government initiatives aimed at reforming the Exchange Companies’ (ECs) sector and cracking down on smuggling activities, both of which have bolstered confidence in the currency markets. 

    This development offers some relief to the prevailing economic outlook, which had been under pressure due to the easing of import restrictions, leading to a widening of the current account deficit in July. 

    Analysts at Topline Securities anticipate that the PKR/USD exchange rate in the inter-bank market will likely remain within the range of Rs320–340 by June 2024, providing a forward-looking perspective on the currency’s performance. 

    Meanwhile, on the global stage, the US dollar experienced a modest decline, albeit remaining close to its six-month peak against major currencies. This movement occurred ahead of the Federal Reserve’s highly anticipated interest rate decision scheduled for Wednesday. 

  • Pakistan to launch digital rupee to reduce printing and distribution costs

    Pakistan to launch digital rupee to reduce printing and distribution costs

    The government has opted to introduce a digital currency as a strategic move aimed at reducing expenses associated with currency printing and distribution.

    According to The News, this digital currency initiative is expected to contribute to the appreciation of the rupee’s value, bolster the overall economy, and facilitate extensive financial transactions.

    Much like the Chinese digital currency, where one unit is equivalent to one Chinese Yuan, the value of this digital currency will be pegged to the Pakistani rupee. The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) will be the driving force behind this endeavour, offering government-backed guarantees similar to traditional currency notes. The SBP has already begun its efforts, enlisting the expertise of professionals for its development.

    To oversee this transformation, a specialised department known as the Central Bank Digital Currency has been established. This department is diligently assessing the cost benefits and feasibility of the digital currency to ensure seamless transactions upon its launch.

    The government’s objective is to gradually replace physical currency notes with digital currency while maintaining an 80:20 ratio, allowing currency notes to coexist as a backup in unforeseen circumstances.

    The adoption of digital currency will also yield significant savings by eliminating the expenses associated with printing, distributing, and disposing of physical notes. Additionally, every digital transaction will be meticulously documented, enhancing the effectiveness of monetary policy enforcement.

    Furthermore, digital currency holds substantial potential for advancing cross-border trade and investment and extending access to financial services for the unbanked population. The World Bank acknowledges its potential to enhance the financial industry’s efficiency, resilience, and reliability, with blockchain technology serving as one of the pivotal distributed ledger technologies supporting these advancements.

  • Pakistani rupee surges 0.43% versus US dollar in inter-bank trading

    Pakistani rupee surges 0.43% versus US dollar in inter-bank trading

    The Pakistani rupee displayed resilience against the US dollar, registering a noteworthy 0.43 per cent appreciation in the early hours of trading within the inter-bank market on Friday.

    By 11:15 am, the rupee had reached a level of 296.68, marking a substantial increase of Rs1.28 in the inter-bank market.

    In contrast, on the previous Wednesday, the rupee had demonstrated a 0.29 per cent appreciation, ultimately settling at 297.96.

    Concurrently, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) opted to maintain the key policy rate at 22 per cent, anticipating a future decline in inflation.

    This decision mirrors the MPC’s stance during the preceding meeting, indicating a consistent status quo in the policy rate despite market expectations of a potential rate hike.

    Internationally, the US dollar maintained relative stability in the Asian market on Friday, slightly retreating from its recent gains against other currencies. This shift coincided with the strengthening of the yuan, driven by positive economic data from China.

    The US dollar’s surge was driven by an unexpected increase of 0.6 per cent in August retail sales, surpassing the estimated 0.2 per cent rise. Additionally, market participants reacted to the European Central Bank’s 25-basis-point hike.

    While the US dollar index currently stands at 105.32, marginally lower than Thursday’s six-month peak of 105.43, it still maintains its overall strength.

    Furthermore, oil prices experienced an uptick on Friday, marking their third consecutive weekly gain. This rise was influenced by better-than-expected Chinese economic data and reports indicating record oil consumption, reinforcing the belief in continued high demand from the world’s second-largest crude consumer.

  • State Bank maintains interest rate at 22% as inflation takes a breather 

    State Bank maintains interest rate at 22% as inflation takes a breather 

    The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) has announced its decision to maintain the key policy rate at 22 per cent, as outlined in their official statement released today. 

    The decision to uphold the policy rate at 22 per cent was reached after careful consideration by the MPC, which took into account various economic factors. One of the pivotal factors influencing this decision was the recent trend in inflation.

    In particular, the MPC noted a significant decline in inflation from its peak of 38 per cent in May to 27.4 per cent in August 2023. This trend, coupled with the expectation of a continued downward trajectory in inflation, was a key factor in maintaining the current policy rate. 

    Despite recent increases in global oil prices, which have been passed on to consumers through adjustments in administered energy prices, the MPC remains confident in the outlook for inflation, particularly in the latter half of the year. This optimism is based on several factors, including the positive territory of real interest rates on a forward-looking basis.

    Additionally, the expected alleviation of supply constraints due to improved agricultural output and recent administrative measures against speculative activities in the foreign exchange and commodity markets are anticipated to support a favorable inflation outlook. 

    The MPC also highlighted four noteworthy developments that have occurred since its last meeting in July: 

    1. Improved Agricultural Outlook: The latest data on cotton arrivals, improved input conditions, and satellite data indicating healthy vegetation for other crops have contributed to an improved outlook for agriculture. 

    2. Rising Global Oil Prices: Global oil prices have experienced an upward trajectory and are currently hovering around the $90/barrel level. 

    3. Current Account Deficit: As expected, the current account shifted from surplus to deficit in July, partly attributed to the recent relaxation of import restrictions. 

    4. Positive Regulatory Measures: Recent administrative and regulatory actions aimed at enhancing the availability of essential food commodities and curbing illegal activities in the foreign exchange market have started to yield positive results, narrowing the gap between interbank and open market exchange rates. 

    The SBP’s MPC affirmed its commitment to closely monitoring risks to the inflation outlook and expressed its readiness to take appropriate actions when necessary to achieve the objective of price stability.

    Furthermore, the MPC highlighted the importance of maintaining a prudent fiscal stance to manage aggregate demand effectively. This fiscal responsibility is seen as crucial to achieving the medium-term target of 5-7 per cent inflation by the end of the fiscal year 2025. 

  • Pakistani currency strengthens amid crackdown on smuggling

    Pakistani currency strengthens amid crackdown on smuggling

    The Pakistani rupee continued its upward trajectory against the US dollar, registering a 0.6 per cent appreciation in the inter-bank market on Monday.

    At precisely 2:15 pm, the rupee was quoted at Rs301.10, marking a notable increase of Rs1.85 within the inter-bank market.

    In the preceding week, the rupee exhibited a 0.83 per cent gain, concluding at 302.95 in its exchange rate against the US dollar within the inter-bank arena. However, this performance is only part of a larger narrative, as the gap between the inter-bank and open market rates underwent a substantial reduction.

    This shift occurred in conjunction with reported measures taken to combat smuggling and speculative activities, leading to a remarkable turnaround for the currency after it had reached a record low just the previous Tuesday.

    The State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP) initiative to fortify controls over Exchange Companies, coupled with reports of the army chief’s intervention and the deployment of law-enforcement personnel at currency dealer outlets, played pivotal roles in the rupee’s resurgence.