Current Final

Category: Business

  • Pakistani rupee ends 2023 with marginal gain versus US dollar

    Pakistani rupee ends 2023 with marginal gain versus US dollar

    Pakistani rupee demonstrated a slight appreciation against the US dollar for the 13th consecutive session, marking a gain of 0.02 per cent in the inter-bank market on Friday.

    According to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the day concluded with the rupee settling at Rs281.86, reflecting an increase of Rs0.07.

    Remarkably, this signifies a closure of 2023 with the rupee undergoing a depreciation of 19.7 per cent, originating from its starting point at Rs226.43 against the US dollar in the inter-bank market at the beginning of the year. 

    Notably, on the preceding Thursday, the rupee experienced a marginal upturn, settling at Rs281.93 against the US dollar.

    A significant development unfolded as the foreign exchange reserves held by the State Bank of Pakistan observed a substantial weekly upswing, surging by $852 million to reach $7.75 billion as of December 22, according to data released on Thursday. 

    The overall liquid foreign reserves for the country tallied at $12.85 billion, with commercial banks holding net foreign reserves amounting to $5.1 billion. The SBP attributed this surge in reserves to official government inflows.

    On the global stage, the US dollar appeared poised to conclude 2023 with a loss, reversing a two-year trend of gains. This shift was influenced by market expectations that the US Federal Reserve might initiate rate easing as early as March of the following year. 

    The greenback remained generally subdued on the last trading day of the year, hovering near a five-month low against a basket of currencies, falling 0.02 per cent to 101.18, following a recent dip to 100.61. 

    This trend underscored the impact of the Federal Reserve’s aggressive rate-hike cycle initiated in early 2022 on the dollar’s trajectory over the past two years.

  • Gold rate drops by Rs1,900 per tola

    Gold rate drops by Rs1,900 per tola

    On Friday, the gold market in Pakistan halted its previous upward trend, experiencing a decline in tandem with the global decrease in gold prices. 

    As reported by the All Pakistan Gems and Jewellers Sarafa Association (APGJSA), the price per tola of gold was adjusted to Rs220,900, reflecting a one-day decrease of Rs1,900. 

    The 10-gramme gold rate also saw a reduction, reaching Rs189,386 after a decrease of Rs1,629.

    Contrary to Thursday’s surge of Rs 2,200 per tola, the international gold rate exhibited a setback, settling at $2,090 per ounce on Friday with a $20 premium. This decline of $15 in the global market was noted by the APGJSA.

    In the same period, silver rates remained unchanged at Rs2,680 per tola in the local market.

  • SBP-held forex reserves surge to $7.76 billion in December

    SBP-held forex reserves surge to $7.76 billion in December

    In the week concluding on December 22, 2023, Pakistan witnessed a substantial increase in its total liquid foreign reserves, reaching a noteworthy $12,855.7 million.

    This surge was reported by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), which highlighted that the central bank’s reserves saw a remarkable uptick to $7,757.1 million during the same period.

    The SBP revealed that the surge in reserves, amounting to $852 million, was primarily attributed to official inflows from the Government of Pakistan received during the week under review.

    Simultaneously, commercial banks in the country reported net foreign reserves amounting to $5,098.6 million, further contributing to the overall resilience of Pakistan’s financial position.

    This positive development follows the previous week’s figures, ending on December 15, 2023, where the total liquid foreign reserves were recorded at $12,068.4 million.

    During this period, the central bank held reserves worth $6,904.8 million, with commercial banks reporting net foreign reserves of $5,163.6 million.

    In contrast to the positive financial indicators, Pakistan’s auto industry faced significant challenges in 2023, marked by a sharp decline in car sales of up to 55 per cent. Factories involved in manufacturing car parts also experienced a substantial production cut of 70 per cent.

    The persistent challenges in the auto sector were attributed to the exchange rate crisis, causing a decline in income until the previous year.

    The repercussions of reduced car sales were not limited to impacting the national Treasury; they also resulted in a noticeable decrease in revenue from products.

    An essential factor in this context is the adjustment made by automobile companies following a decrease in the value of the US dollar against the Pakistani rupee.

    In the closing months of 2023, these companies responded by slashing the prices of their units, reflecting the dynamic interplay between economic forces and market conditions.

  • Gold price in Pakistan registers Rs2,200 per tola single-day surge

    Gold price in Pakistan registers Rs2,200 per tola single-day surge

    On Thursday, the price of gold in Pakistan once again saw an upward trend, mirroring the global surge in rates. 

    The valued yellow metal reached Rs222,800 per tola in the domestic market, marking a noteworthy single-day gain of Rs2,200. 

    The 10-gramme gold, as reported by the All Pakistan Gems and Jewellers Sarafa Association (APGJSA), was traded at Rs191,015 following an increase of Rs1,886.

    This escalation follows a Rs1,000 per tola rise in gold prices in Pakistan on the preceding Wednesday. 

    Internationally, gold prices experienced a $20 increment, reaching $2,105 per ounce (with a premium of $20), as highlighted by APGJSA. 

    Concurrently, silver rates remained constant at Rs2,680 per tola in the local market.

  • Pakistani rupee extends winning streak against US dollar for 12th straight session

    Pakistani rupee extends winning streak against US dollar for 12th straight session

    The Pakistani rupee continued its upward trend against the US dollar for the 12th consecutive session, appreciating by 0.1 per cent in the inter-bank market on Thursday. 

    The State Bank of Pakistan reported that the rupee settled at Rs281.93, marking an increase of Re0.27. A day earlier, the rupee had experienced a slight gain, closing at Rs282.20 against the US dollar.

    In a related development, the Ministry of Finance acknowledged the persistent challenge of higher markup payments. The ministry stressed the importance of both revenue enhancement and prudent expenditure control.

    Internationally, the US dollar faced substantial losses on Thursday, poised for a yearly decline after two years of robust gains. 

    Anticipation of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve in the coming year influenced market sentiments. As the year concludes, limited market activity is expected until the New Year due to thin liquidity.

    The dollar index, measuring the US currency against six rivals, reached a five-month low of 100.81. It declined by 0.5 per cent on Wednesday and is on track for a 2.6 per cent decrease this year, breaking a two-year trend of strong gains. I

    Investors are closely monitoring the timing of potential interest rate cuts from the Fed, with markets indicating an 89 per cent chance of a cut in March 2024, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Futures suggest up to 158 basis points of Fed easing in the coming year.

    Oil prices, a significant indicator of currency parity, stabilised on Thursday following a previous sharp decline. 

    Concerns about shipping disruptions along the Red Sea route eased, despite escalating tensions in the Middle East. 

    Brent crude futures rose by 2 cents to $79.75 a barrel, while US WTI crude futures traded 3 cents lower at $74.08 a barrel, rebounding from a nearly 2 per cent drop on Wednesday as major shipping firms resumed operations in the Red Sea.

  • Pakistani rupee gains ground against US dollar for 11th consecutive session

    Pakistani rupee gains ground against US dollar for 11th consecutive session

    The Pakistani rupee sustained its upward trajectory against the US dollar for the 11th consecutive session, exhibiting a 0.06 per cent appreciation in the interbank market on Wednesday. 

    According to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the rupee concluded at Rs282.20, reflecting an increment of Re0.17.

    In the preceding session on Tuesday, the rupee had achieved a marginal gain, settling at Rs282.37 in relation to the US dollar. 

    Concurrently, there has been a notable surge of 200 per cent in the cumulative borrowing by the federal and provincial governments for budgetary support from the domestic banking system in the current fiscal year (FY24).

    Internationally, the US dollar encountered continued pressure on Wednesday, while the euro flirted with a four-month pinnacle. 

    This trend emerged as market expectations of an imminent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve gained traction. The restrained week, marked by global holiday absences until the New Year, is anticipated to witness subdued trading volumes.

    The dollar index, gauging the US currency against six counterparts, stood at 101.54, just below the five-month low of 101.42 recorded last week. 

    The index is poised for a 1.9 per cent decline in 2023, following two consecutive years of robust gains driven by the Fed’s rate hikes to combat inflation. 

    The recent weakening of the dollar is attributed to market anticipation of forthcoming rate cuts by the Fed in the coming year, diminishing the allure of the greenback.

  • 24-karat gold price in Pakistan increases by Rs1,000 per tola

    24-karat gold price in Pakistan increases by Rs1,000 per tola

    On Wednesday, the gold price in Pakistan experienced notable gains, with the 24-karat gold increasing by Rs1,000 per tola, reaching Rs220,600. 

    The Karachi Sarafa Association reported a gain of Rs857 for the 10-gramme 24-karat gold, priced at Rs189,129, while the 10-gramme 22-karat gold stood at Rs173,369.

    It’s worth mentioning that 24-karat gold had risen by Rs2,500 per tola the previous week. 

    Additionally, silver prices saw an uptick today, with 24-karat silver and 10-gramme 24-karat silver gaining Rs30 and Rs25.72, respectively, being sold at Rs2,680 and Rs2,297.66.

    Internationally, spot gold is currently trading at $2,066.85, marking a 0.04 per cent increase, while spot silver is at $24.13, reflecting a -0.25 per cent change.

    Notably, fluctuations in global prices, coupled with shifts in the interbank exchange rate of the Pakistani rupee, impact the domestic gold market. 

    The PKR is maintaining its winning streak against the US dollar, trading at PKR 281.98/282.37 per USD in its 11th consecutive session.

  • December inflation may surpass 30% due to gas price hike

    December inflation may surpass 30% due to gas price hike

    In December, inflation is expected to surpass the 30 per cent threshold, driven by the recent increase in gas prices and the persisting adverse base effect, which continues to impact the consumer price index (CPI).

    The headline inflation for December is projected to settle at approximately 30.11 per cent year-on-year (YoY) and 1.18 per cent month-on-month (MoM), in contrast to the previous month’s figures of 29.2 per cent YoY and 2.7 per cent MoM.

    This monthly inflation rate is significantly lower than the 12-month average of 2.17 per cent MoM.

    Consequently, the average yearly inflation for the first six months of FY24 is estimated to be 28.87 per cent YoY, compared to 25.05 per cent YoY in the same period of FY23.

    The surge in inflation can be attributed to the adverse base effect and the notable increase in gas prices, which were not fully realised in the previous month.

    Conversely, food inflation is expected to exhibit a marginal decrease of 0.29 per cent MoM, driven primarily by the decline in prices of tomatoes, potatoes, chicken, and oil.

    Additionally, the transport index is forecast to undergo a 4 per cent MoM decrease, mainly due to the relief in petrol and high-speed diesel (HSD) prices.

    Post-December, inflation is anticipated to decline at a relatively faster pace, supported by the favorable base effect, the delayed impact of monetary tightening, and other administrative measures.

    The December spike is attributed to the lingering effects of the overdue gas price hike. Notably, unforeseen climate events, volatility in global commodity prices, especially oil, and external account pressures pose significant upside risks to the inflation outlook.

    Global oil prices are on the rise amid challenges in Red Sea shipping, potentially threatening the inflation outlook.

    Moreover, the successful completion of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) review, coupled with additional loan programmes, remains crucial.

    The outstanding amount of $1.8 billion under the stand-by arrangement (SBA) is yet to be released.

    The accompanying chart illustrates the yearly inflation trajectory based on different MoM CPI scenarios. At 0.5 per cent and 1 per cent MoM CPI, yearly inflation is projected to fall below the 22 per cent policy rate by February–March 2024.

    By the end of FY24, with 0.5 per cent and 1 per cent MoM CPI, it is expected to decrease to 15.29 per cent and 19.37 per cent, respectively, a significant change from the previous month’s forecasts of 12.9 per cent and 17.5 per cent.

    Considering the last 12-month average of 2.17 per cent MoM, the real interest rate is anticipated to remain in negative territory by the end of FY24.

  • PSX faces record single-day plunge, shedding 2,534 points 

    PSX faces record single-day plunge, shedding 2,534 points 

    On Tuesday, Pakistan Stock Exchange’s (PSX) KSE-100 index experienced a significant downturn, plummeting by 2,534 points, or 4.11 per cent, culminating in a closure at 59,171—a record for the largest single-day drop in absolute points. 

    Since its zenith on December 13, the index has incurred a substantial loss of 7,923 points, reflecting an 11.81 per cent decline.

    The market correction intensified during today’s session, attributed to pronounced selling pressures in the final week of the year, compounded by prevailing political uncertainty. 

    In the latest session, the index showcased a wide trading range of 2,607.74 points, registering an intraday high of 61,634.55 (down by 70.54 points) and a low of 59,026.81 (down by 2,678.28 points). The total volume of the KSE-100 index reached 396.481 million shares.

    Within Tuesday’s session, 5 out of the 100 index companies closed higher, 91 closed lower, 1 remained unchanged, and 3 were untraded. 

    The decline of the KSE-100 index was particularly influenced by sectors such as oil and gas exploration companies (-508.87 points), commercial banks (-386.15 points), power generation and distribution (-271.96 points), cement (-211.88 points), and fertiliser (-194.77 points).

  • PKR appreciates 15.82 paisa to close at Rs282.37 against USD

    PKR appreciates 15.82 paisa to close at Rs282.37 against USD

    In Tuesday’s interbank session, the Pakistani rupee (PKR) strengthened by 15.82 paisa against the US dollar (USD), concluding the trade at PKR 282.37 per USD—improved from the previous closing of PKR 282.53 per USD. 

    The Pakistani currency experienced intraday fluctuations, reaching a high bid of Rs282.8 and a low ask of Rs282.4.

    Within the open market, Exchange Companies quoted the dollar at Rs282 for buying and Rs284.8 for selling. 

    Against major currencies, the PKR depreciated by 46.13 paisa against the Euro, closing at Rs311.27, compared to the prior value of Rs310.81. 

    The British Pound became more affordable by 17.27 paisa, closing at Rs358.48, in contrast to Rs358.66 from the preceding day.

    The Swiss franc demonstrated gains of 4.63 paisa, concluding at Rs329.89, a slight increase from Rs329.84 in the previous session. 

    Against the Japanese Yen, the PKR gained 0.23 paisa, settling at Rs1.9841 as opposed to Rs1.9864 a day ago. 

    The Chinese Yuan experienced a decline of 3.37 paisa, closing at Rs39.52 compared to Rs39.55 in the previous session.

    The Saudi Riyal concluded at Rs75.27, indicating a loss of 4.32 paisa from its previous value of Rs75.31. 

    Simultaneously, the UAE Dirham decreased by 4.73 paisa, transitioning from Rs76.89 a day ago to Rs76.93.