Tag: SBP

  • Pakistani rupee crashes to another record low of Rs236.02 against US dollar

    Pakistani rupee crashes to another record low of Rs236.02 against US dollar

    During intraday trade today, the Pakistani Rupee (PKR) plunged to a new low versus the US Dollar (USD). It lost Rs3.09 in the interbank market today and depreciated by 1.31 per cent against the USD, closing at Rs236.02.

    During today’s open market session, the local currency was quoted at an intraday low of Rs238.5 against the US dollar. The dollar has increased by Rs52.07 against the PKR since the change of government.

    It is important to note that the Pakistani rupee has been among the worst-performing currencies in the world, falling more than 30 per cent since the beginning of 2022.

    However, the dollar has declined globally as well, reaching a 20-year high against other currencies in part due to anticipation that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates more quickly than the majority of central banks.

    In addition, dealers told The News that the local currency was under pressure due to the ongoing political unrest and a lack of dollar liquidity.

  • SBP raises policy rate to 14-year-high of 15 per cent

    SBP raises policy rate to 14-year-high of 15 per cent

    In an attempt to calm the economy, control inflation, and support the beleaguered rupee, the State Bank of Pakistan’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decided to raise the policy rate by 125 basis points (bps) to 15 per cent on Thursday.

    The previous policy rate at the same level was in 2008, so the current policy rate is at a level that is 14 years higher. The committee also disclosed that, in order to improve the transmission of monetary policy, interest rates on EFS and LTFF loans are now tied to the policy rate.

    Following the MPC meeting on Thursday, SBP Acting Governor Dr Murtaza Syed gave a virtual press conference where he announced the monetary policy decision. He told the media that the rate of inflation has been rising at its highest rate since 1970.

    “Globally, inflation is at multi-decade highs in most countries, and central banks are acting aggressively, putting pressure on most emerging market currencies to depreciate,” he continued.

    He praised recent government decisions, such as ending petroleum subsidies, and claimed that these actions had made it possible to finish the IMF loan programme. Pakistan’s external financing requirements for FY23 will be met thanks to significant additional funding from external sources, which will be stimulated by the anticipated conclusion of the ongoing IMF review.

    Then, during the course of FY23, rupee pressures should ease and the SBP’s FX reserves should gradually resume their prior upward trajectory.

    According to him, monetary tightening and fiscal consolidation will cause GDP growth to moderate to 3–4 per cent in FY23, helping to close the positive output gap and lessen demand-side pressures on inflation.

    The acting governor SBP stated that, according to the MPC’s baseline outlook, headline inflation is likely to remain high in FY23, hovering around 19–20 per cent, before dropping sharply to the target range of 5–7 per cent by the end of FY24, driven by stringent policies, a normalisation of global commodity prices, and advantageous base effects.

  • Pakistani rupee remains volatile as US dollar surpasses Rs211

    Pakistani rupee remains volatile as US dollar surpasses Rs211

    On Monday, the Pakistani rupee dropped sharply to a record low of over Rs211 against the US dollar in the interbank market, indicating that the currency remains highly volatile.

    The rupee’s latest devaluation against the US dollar is the result of panic buying by traders in response to reports that some financial institutions were out of foreign currency.

    According to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the US dollar was available at Rs211.21 at 11:03 AM and had closed at Rs208.75 on Friday.

    It is worth noting that the Pakistani rupee has fallen for the seventh working day in a row, losing nearly Rs6, or more than 3 per cent, to date.

    Experts predict that the Pakistan rupee will continue to fall against the US dollar and other major currencies owing to concerns regarding the IMF’s $6 billion program’s restoration, the country’s expanding current account deficit, and dwindling foreign exchange reserves.

    The PKR which lost 32.5 per cent of its value in the current financial year 2021-22 is forecasted to remain under stress as the dollar is in high demand in the market due to economic crises.

    SBP appears helpless to stem the rupee’s speculative fall, as demand for the US dollar continues to rise due to quarter-end payment strain.

    Monetary specialists attribute the depreciation of the local currency to a widening trade deficit, political instability, and a drop in foreign direct investment. The currency expert believes that the positive news from the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) will help attract foreign investment, increasing the availability of the dollar.

    Traders expect the rupee to settle in a range of 195-200 per dollar until the end of the current fiscal year 2021-22 if the IMF deal is finalised.

    According to data compiled by Ismail Iqbal Securities, Pakistan’s currency has depreciated by 14.57 per cent against the dollar this year, making it one of the worst performers in the world.

    The worst-performing currency was the Sri Lankan rupee, which fell 43.9 per cent, followed by the Laotian Kip, which fell 24 per cent, the Turkish Lira, which fell 23.18 per cent, and the Ghana Cedi, which fell 22.33 per cent, according to the data.

  • Govt unveils Rs9.5 trillion budget 2022-23, focused on sustainable growth

    Govt unveils Rs9.5 trillion budget 2022-23, focused on sustainable growth

    The federal budget for 2022-23 has been revealed with a total outlay of Rs9,502 billion. It includes measures for sustainable economic growth, industrial and agricultural development, and aid for the poor ones.

    Finance Minister, Miftah Ismail began his address by claiming that the PTI administration had left Pakistan’s economy in shambles and harmed investor confidence by often switching finance ministers and monetary policies.

    He slammed former Prime Minister Imran Khan, claiming that he never cared about the poor, claiming that “keeping an eye on potato and tomato prices is not a PM’s duty”.

    He claims that the governing party took control of the country despite the fact that it will have to make difficult decisions to save the economy, which will affect their individual parties’ appeal, but they chose to put the country’s interests ahead of their own.

    Relief for working class and the poor

    He claimed that the budget is geared at providing greater relief to the working class and the poor, as opposed to the wealthy, because the working class prefers to buy local products over foreign ones, boosting the economy.

    Budget 2022-23, according to Miftah Ismail, will concentrate on offering facilities to farmers planting crops that supply cooking oil, such as corn and sunflower, so that the country does not need to import palm oil, which is at an all-time high in the worldwide market.

    Slashing furniture, stationary expenses in govt offices

    Considering the current economic downturn, the administration has decided to restrict operational expenditures to the absolute minimum, and that new furniture and stationary for government offices will be completely prohibited. Other than obligatory diplomatic visits, all government-sponsored foreign trips will be prohibited.

    Education

    The government has set aside Rs65 billion for the Higher Education Commission (HEC) in the current budget. In addition, the HEC has been granted Rs44 billion for development programmes, which is 67 per cent more than the previous year.

    Miftah Ismail said that this is a demonstration of our commitment to the youth. We are encouraging provinces to completely fulfill their obligations in terms of higher education promotion in the coming years, he said. The HEC budget includes 5,000 scholarships for Balochistan and tribal district students. He added that a unique scholarship programme has been introduced for Balochistan’s coastal communities.

    The Finance Minister said that 100,000 laptops would be provided to students around the country on affordable instalments. Funds have also been set aside for the purchase of cutting-edge equipment to improve engineering and technology education.

    15 per cent Increase in govt employees’ salaries

    In Budget 2022-23, Miftah Ismail announced a 15 per cent increase in government employee salaries, as well as the merger of adhoc allowances.

    He said that the tax on savings certificates, pensioners’ benefit accounts, and martyrs’ family assistance accounts had been reduced from 10 per cent to 5 per cent.

    Small merchants will be subject to a new fixed income and sales tax regime, according to the Minister. Electricity bills would be used to collect taxes ranging from Rs3,000 to Rs10,000 under this method. This will be a final agreement, and FBR will have no right to inquire about the tax.

    According to Miftah Ismail, a proposal has been made to increase initial depreciation rates for industries and other businesses from 50 per cent to 100 per cent in the first year.

    Furthermore, he stated that any tariffs imposed on industrial units during the import of raw materials will be considered adjustable in order to protect the business community’s working capital.

    New industrial policy

    He stated that an industrial policy is being implemented in partnership with the Asian Development Bank in order to boost the country’s industrial base. He stated that the Prime Minister has directed that all exporter claims be resolved as soon as possible.

    A sum of Rs40.5 billion is due to them right now, and we will pay it as soon as possible. Regardless of financial challenges, sales tax refunds are issued swiftly. Industrial feeders have been spared from load-shedding, according to him, in order to ensure that the industrial sector has uninterrupted power supply.

    A new strategy for promoting investment in the country is being developed which aims to provide an enabling atmosphere for investors by eliminating the lengthy procedure. The government will overhaul the dispute settlement structure to make it easier for domestic and foreign investors.

    Boosting agriculture sector

    Talking about the agriculture sector, Finance Minister stated that Rs21 billion had been set aside to boost agriculture and livestock productivity. He stated that the Ministry of Food Security, in consultation with the Planning Commission and the provinces, has developed a three-year growth strategy. This plan aims to increase agri-production, increase farmer prosperity, and promote smart agriculture and self-sufficiency.

    National Youth Commission

    The Finance Minister also announced the development of a National Youth Commission to help youth realise their full potential. Various plans for the youth, he noted, have been offered. He stated that a coordinated strategy is being implemented to strengthen the role of educated youth in the growth of the country. According to him, the youth employment initiative will create over two million job chances.

    He added that a scheme to foster youth entrepreneurship will be launched, under which interest-free loans of up to Rs500,000 and loans of up to Rs25 million will be made available on easy payments. He stated that in this lending arrangement, a 25 per cent quota has been been aside for women. He stated that women will be given precedence in hi-tech training in order to achieve economic empowerment. Youth development centres would be set up over the country, he said.

    A green youth movement would be launched to involve young people in environmental initiatives. Funds will be set aside to distribute laptops on a merit-based and instalment basis, as well as the construction of 250 mini-sports stadiums across the country. Miftah Ismail stated that an innovation league would be established in order to improve the youth’s potential. He said that a talent quest and sports drive programme will be developed for youngsters between the ages of eleven and twenty-five.

    Reduction in govt spending

    According to the Finance Minister, the current government’s top focus is austerity. This budget includes a reduction in government spending, and we are taking meaningful moves in that direction. He stated that automobile purchases will be completely prohibited. Apart from development initiatives, procurement of furniture and other products would be prohibited. Cabinet members and government officials will have their gasoline quotas lowered by 40 per cent. There will also be a ban on international tours paid for by the government, with the exception of the most important ones.

    A medium-term macroeconomic framework has been established to put the economy on a road of development, according to the Finance Minister. He emphasised his belief that by implementing this framework, we will be able to steer the economy in the right way. Our biggest problem, he remarked, is to expand without a current account deficit. As a result, a minimum of 5 per cent will be obtained without disrupting the balance.

    Improved fiscal and monetary policy

    He said that the GDP will increase from Rs67 trillion to Rs78.3 trillion in the coming fiscal year and the government is attempting to lower inflation through improved fiscal and monetary policy. During the next fiscal year, inflation will be decreased by 11.5 per cent.

    He predicted that the tax-to-GDP ratio will rise to 9.2 per cent in the coming fiscal year, up from 8.6 per cent now. He noted that in 2017-18, we had kept this ratio at 11.1 per cent. He stated that the overall deficit, which is currently at 8.6 per cent, will be steadily reduced. In the coming fiscal year, this will be reduced to 4.9 per cent. Similarly, the overall primary balance, which presently stands at -2.4 per cent of GDP, will be reduced to 0.19 per cent.

    Import and export

    Imports, which are estimated to be $76 billion this fiscal year, would be lowered to $70 billion the following fiscal year, according to the Finance Minister. Exports are currently $31.3 billion, but will increase to $35 billion in the coming fiscal year. The current account deficit will be decreased from -4.1 per cent of GDP to -2.2 per cent of GDP.

    Remittances, which are predicted to continue at $31.1 billion this fiscal year, are expected to grow to $33.2 billion next fiscal year.

    Key allocations in Budget 2022-23

    Rs1,523 billion allocated for defence

    Rs800 billion allocated for Public Sector Development Program (PSDP)

    Rs699 billion allocated for targeted subsidy

    Rs364 billion allocated for Benazir Income Support Program (BISP)

    Rs64 billion allocated for Higher Education Program

    Rs25.99 billion allocated for Atomic Energy Commission

    Rs24 billion allocated for Health

    Rs21 billion allocated for Benazir Nashunuma Program

    Rs11 billion allocated for Agriculture

    Rs10.12 allocated billion for food security 

    Rs9.60 billion allocated for Climate Change

    Rs530 billion allocated for pension funds

    Rs3.46 billion allocated for Maritime Affairs

    Key announcements

    The GDP growth target has been set at 5 per cent.

    Remittances are expected to total $33.2 billion.

    Inflation will be held at 11.5 per cent.

    FBR has set a revenue target of Rs7,004 billion.

    Non-tax revenue objective is set at $2 billion.

    The goal set for imports is $70 billion.

    The target for exports is $35 billion.

    Government employees will have a 15 per cent raise in pay.

    Under a new employment scheme, youngsters will be eligible for interest-free loans up to Rs500,000.

    Distributors and manufacturers will no longer be subject to an 8 per cent withholding tax.

    On national saving systems, the profit rate dropped from 10 per cent to 5 per cent.

    Cinema owners and film makers are exempt from income tax.

    On cars with engines larger than 1600cc, the advance tax will be raised.

    Pharmaceutical materials are exempted from any customs duties.

    This is a developing story..

  • IMF programme will only revive if Govt hikes fuel, electricity prices

    IMF programme will only revive if Govt hikes fuel, electricity prices

    The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has stated unequivocally that the loan programme under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) will not be revived unless oil and electricity prices are increased. The Pakistani delegation, on the other hand, has asked for more time to withdraw the subsidy.

    The delegation would meet with Prime Minister (PM) Shehbaz Sharif to discuss it. Both parties have agreed to continue discussions. Apart from the withdrawal of the subsidy, officials claim that all other issues have been resolved.

    Pakistan was unable to persuade the IMF despite a week of discussions in Doha, Qatar, from May 18 to May 25.

    IMF postponed the rollback of Pakistan’s stalled $6 billion External Financing Facility (EFF) programme late Wednesday as the government hoped that the revival would bring stability to the financial markets, the rapid weakening of the local currency with depleting foreign exchange reserves.

    In a statement, the Fund underlined the elimination of petroleum and energy subsidies, among other conditions, as a prerequisite for the program’s restoration. Following the conclusion of the talks, Nathan Porter, the IMF Mission Chief for Pakistan, stated that the Fund held meaningful talks with Pakistani representatives.

    “The Mission has engaged in highly constructive discussions with Pakistani authorities in order to reach an agreement on policies and reforms that will lead to the completion of the awaiting seventh evaluation of the authorities’ reform programme, which is backed by an IMF Extended Fund Facility arrangement”.

    As per Porter, significant progress was made during the mission, including the need to continue addressing massive inflation and rising fiscal and current account shortfalls, whereas ensuring sufficient protection for the weakest.

    The Fund also lauded the State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP) decision to raise the policy rate from 12.25 per cent to 13.75 per cent in order to combat rising inflation. However, the mission chief noted that there were fiscal deviations from the policies agreed upon in the previous review, reflecting in part the fuel and power subsidies announced by the authorities in February.

    The PTI-led government initially concurred to increasing the prices of energy and petroleum products, but Imran Khan announced a subsidy on both commodities later in March, and the present government is proceeding with the same arrangement.

    As per Porter, the IMF team highlighted the importance of tangible policy actions, including the removal of fuel and energy subsidies and the FY2023 budget, to achieve programme objectives. He went on to say that the IMF team is looking forward to proceeding with its discussion and close engagement with the Pakistani government on policies to ensure price stability for the benefit of all Pakistanis.

  • SBP shortens car loan tenure to deflate import bill

    SBP shortens car loan tenure to deflate import bill

    The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) decreased the consumer lending duration for vehicles on May 24, bringing it to a maximum of three years for cars with engine displacements greater than 1,000cc and five years for those with engine displacements less than 1,000cc.

    “The maximum tenure of auto finance facility is reduced from five (5) years to three (3) years for vehicles above 1,000 cc engine displacement and from seven (7) years to five (5) years for vehicles up to 1,000 cc engine displacement,” read the circular.

    The SBP decided to change the Prudential Regulations for Consumer Financing (PRCF) in its circular Letter No. 19 of 2022:

    Other amendments issued previously, via BPRD Circular Letter No. 29 dated September 23, 2021, will now be applicable on financing for all locally assembled/manufactured vehicles, including financing for vehicles with up to 1,000 cc engine capacity and locally assembled/manufactured electric vehicles, according to the central bank.

    “However, the regulatory treatment of Roshan Apni Car product communicated earlier to RDA participant banks will continue to remain effective,” read the circular.

    “The maximum tenure of auto finance facility is reduced from five (5) years to three (3) years for vehicles above 1,000 cc engine displacement and from seven (7) years to five (5) years for vehicles up to 1,000 cc engine displacement,” read the letter.

    Other amendments issued previously, via BPRD Circular Letter No. 29 dated September 23, 2021, will now be applicable on financing for all locally assembled/manufactured vehicles, including financing for vehicles with up to 1,000 cc engine capacity and locally assembled/manufactured electric vehicles, according to the central bank.

    “However, the regulatory treatment of Roshan Apni Car product communicated earlier to RDA participant banks will continue to remain effective,” read the circular.

  • PM rules out the removal of fuel, energy subsidies ahead of talks with IMF: Miftah Ismail

    PM rules out the removal of fuel, energy subsidies ahead of talks with IMF: Miftah Ismail

    Finance Minister Miftah Ismail has once again said the government doesn’t plan to increase the prices of petroleum products. Talking to the media at the Karachi airport, he said that Prime Minister (PM) Shehbaz Sharif and Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N) supremo Nawaz Sharif had ruled out the possibility of ending the subsidies.

    “It will not happen. I have refused. Shehbaz Sharif sahib has refused. Nawaz Sharif sahib has refused,” said Ismail. “I am assuring you that I will not agree to [the terms] that Shaukat Tarin agreed to.”

    He said that according to the deal finalised by former finance minister Shaukat Tarin, Pakistan would have to raise the price of diesel by over Rs150 and petrol by Rs100.

    Miftah said that Imran Khan took a loan of Rs20,000 billion, which is 80% of the entire amount of loans taken in 71 years of Pakistan’s history.

    He further stated that former planning and development minister Asad Umar caused Pakistan a loss of 9.1%, which was a record loss in 52 years.

    “Pakistan exported wheat when we [PML-N] left the government but today the country is importing wheat,” Miftah said.

    A team comprising State Bank of Pakistan and Federal Board of Revenue officials, as well as Minister of State for Finance and Revenue Dr Aisha Ghous Pasha and the finance secretary, are already in Doha to negotiate with the IMF.

    The talks began on May 18. At the time, Ismail had told the IMF that the government understood the current economic crisis and agreed that it would have to take “tough decisions” while mitigating the effects of inflation on middle to low-income groups.

  • Pakistani rupee reaches a new all-time low of Rs190 against the US dollar

    Pakistani rupee reaches a new all-time low of Rs190 against the US dollar

    In the interbank market on May 11, the US dollar soared to an all-time high against the Pakistani rupee (PKR), reaching Rs190.10.

    In the morning. the local currency was trading at Rs189.89 to Rs190.04, with deals reported at Rs190.

    The dollar gained Rs1.44, surpassing the prior day’s finish of Rs188.66. The greenback touched an all-time high on May 11, when it surpassed the Rs189 level.

    It had gone down in the immediate aftermath of the April 11 change of government, but the adjustment soon ran out of steam, and the greenback is now flying again, hitting a new all-time high.

    Read more: CNG prices pushed to Rs140 per kg for sales tax collection

    Experts say the rupee is under pressure because of increased oil import bills and speculation about the Saudi package. Foreign reserves were also under strain due to delays in talks with the International Monetary Fund.

  • Pakistani Rupee crashes to a record low against US dollar 

    After a fourth consecutive session of losses on May 10, Pakistan’s currency hit an all-time low in the interbank market due to a lack of clarity on foreign cash inflow and a stronger US dollar.

    The rupee ended the day at Rs188.66, down Rs1.13, or 0.60 per cent, according to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP). After a 0.48 per cent decline on Monday, the rupee finished at Rs187.53. Prior to Tuesday, the PKR’s lowest closing was Rs188.18 on April 7, 2022.

    Oil prices, a key indicator of currency parity, dipped in tumultuous trade on Tuesday as the market weighed the impact of expected European Union penalties on Russian oil against demand concerns stemming from China’s coronavirus lockdowns, a strong dollar, and rising recession threats.

    Read more: Pakistani rupee nearing an all-time low

    Despite the decline, the price of oil remains far above $100 per barrel, a high level for oil-importing nations like Pakistan, which is already grappling with a growing current account deficit and dwindling foreign exchange reserves.

  • Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves dropped by $115 million

    Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves dropped by $115 million

    Pakistan’s liquid foreign reserves were depleted by $115 million in the week ending April 30, 2022, a 0.7 per cent drop from the previous week.

    According to the SBP weekly report unveiled on Friday, Pakistan’s total liquid foreign exchange reserves declined by $115 million (-0.7 per cent) to $16.553 billion on April 30, 2022, from $16.668 billion the previous week.

    Due to external debt payments, the SBP reserves fell by $59 million to $10.499 billion (-0.6 per cent) from $10.558 billion a week earlier.

    Read more: Dr Murtaza Syed assumes charge as the new Governor State Bank of Pakistan

    Furthermore, commercial banks’ net foreign reserves stood at $6.05 billion, down $56 million (-0.9 per cent) on a weekly basis.